Peter Drucker says:
Decisions exist only in the present. The question that faces the long-range [technology] planner is not what we should do tomorrow, it is: What do we have to do today to be ready for an uncertain tomorrow?
For the leading and /or very large companies (hint Google / Apple, etc.) it is even more interesting, because they not only try to accommodate uncertainty, but actually influence the future. So it is not like competitions of visions, but actually competition of who and how is going to shape the future [technology]. Hm — does it make the future more or less uncertain :)?.
Excellent talk on data visualization. The abstract from YouTube:
John Rauser explains a few of the most important results from research into the functioning of the human visual system and the question of how humans decode information presented in graphical form. By understanding and applying this research when designing statistical graphics, you can simplify difficult analytical tasks as much as possible.
In my second master thesis I was trying to automate part of the process required for public policy design. The results were not very satisfactory in terms of the applicability in practice. I hope to someday return to the idea and utilize machine learning methods which became available since then (hm, deep learning maybe) + knowledge and experience gained during doctoral studies at CLEA and ECCO.
Veitas, V. Text Segmentation and Coding for Qualitative Data Analysis. Master Thesis. Katholieke Universiteit Leuven. 2009.
Here is the link to the full text of my self-published book / master thesis done at ISM University of Management and Economics, Vilnius.
Veitas, V. & Economic Research Centre. System thinking based municipal policy design for the improvement of local business environment: Šiauliai city case study. Economic Research Centre, 2007.
Here is our new paper, submitted to the Technological Forecasting & Social Change journal, special issue “The Global Brain: A Model of the Future Information Society“:
Veitas, V., and D. Weinbaum. “Living Cognitive Society: A ‘Digital’ World of Views.
” submitted to: Technological Forecasting and Social Change
, October 2015.
This weekend I am going to present a poster on Synthetic Cognitive Development at (the) Sixth EUCogIII Members Conference in Genoa. The poster is pretty much a mind map of the paper we are writing with Weaver on the topic.
You can see it here (warning: 10 MB pdf file..).